Washington @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington +5½ -104 over PHILADELPHIA

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +5½ -104 Bet365 +5 -105 SportsInteraction +5½ -110 5DIMES +5½ -107

Posted at 12:10 PM EST.

8:30 PM EST. The last time we saw the Redskins was last week at home to San Francisco and as a 10-point choice, Washington narrowly escaped, 26-24. The ‘Skins dodged a bullet by a team the Cowboys destroyed yesterday. The Redskins are now 3-2 with victories over the Rams, Raiders and 49ers. They also lost at home to these same Eagles in Week 1, back in D.C. by a score of 30-17. The general feeling out there is that the Redskins are improved from last year but they are a second tier NFC team that is not in the same class as the true contenders in the conference (like Philadelphia) while the Eagles are damn close to being the best team in the league or the favorite to win the Super Bowl. When you get behind these overly-hyped teams, there is always a price to pay, especially in prime time. You will pay that price to back the home team here and it’s a risk not worth taking.

Philadelphia is 5-1 with only loss occurring against Kansas City in a game they could’ve easily won. They also have a QB that is getting headlines. Carson Wentz has thrown 13 touchdowns against only three interceptions. He's thrown for three 300 yard games and his best efforts are at home. Wentz passed for seven scores over the last two games and opened the year with 307 yards and two scores in Washington. It would be very easy to get behind the Eagles here because a good case can be made for doing so but don’t allow the media to convince you of something that has yet to be proven. Yes, Philadelphia is good but they might be the second best team here. Defensively, the Eagles are definitely the second best team here.  

The Giants scored 24 on the Eagles defense and nearly beat them. The Chargers scored 24 also and should’ve beaten them. Last week in Carolina, Cam Newton threw three picks otherwise Carolina would’ve beaten them also. The Eagles only convincing win this season was against the heartless and old Cardinals by a score of 34-7. What’s more interesting is that Philadelphia was at home against Arizona and was a six-point favorite and now they’re almost the exact same price against the Redskins? That can’t be. Each of Philadelphia’s other five games came down to the wire. We could easily be discussing a team that is 1-5, 2-4, 3-3 or 4-2 as opposed to a 5-1 team because that’s how close the Eagles have come to losing a bunch of games. As the wins pile up, so do expectations and pressure to win. Remember last year when the Eagles started out on fire too but ended up losing nine of its last 13 games? Yes, the Eagles are better this year and Carson Wentz is a year older but heavy is the favorite's crown and few teams learn to wear it without some trial and error. The Eagles had no expectations last year but now expectations are through the roof.

Washington’s two losses this year were to Philadelphia and K.C. They were the better team against the Chiefs and were driving for the winning TD against Philadelphia before a turnover made the score look far worse than it was. The Redskins are stacked. Defensively, they do not relent for a second and play with as much ferociousness as any team in the NFL. The Redskins defense has talent in spades and a nasty attitude to go with it. The offense is also good. Remember, the ‘Skins were built by former GM Scot McCloughan, who is widely considered to be one of best evaluators ever. He was fired last year for showing up drunk to work (allegations) but the point is that he built this team to win. Contrary to public perception, Philadelphia is not spectacular. They give up big plays constantly and could easily find itself in a hole here that may be tough to dig out of. The ‘Skins have a big edge on defense and they are the more balanced team here taking back some significant points in prime time. Pencil us in for that. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

Washington +5½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)