Posted Friday at 2:00 PM EST

1:00 PM EST. We often say that the best time to jump on a team is when the market is jumping off and that applies to the Jaguars here. The other side of that coin holds true too in that the best to jump off is when the market is jumping on and that applies to the Ravens here. After Baltimore fell behind 20-0 in Cleveland last week, they rallied big time for a 25-20 victory. Baltimore is now 2-0. Meanwhile, the Jags were a popular pick last week and proceeded to get crushed in San Diego. Those that backed them this week are absolutely not anxious to come back on them this week, which is when we like to step in to pick up the scraps.

Despite rallying and winning last week, it feels more like the Ravens dodged a bullet rather than going into Cleveland and putting away the Brownies. The Ravens were outgained by Cleveland last week (including 65 yards on the ground) and they caught a dead Buffalo team, who has already fired its offensive coordinator, back in Baltimore in Week 1. If you quickly asked 100 people to name the two worst teams in the NFL, 100 of them would quickly come back with Buffalo and Cleveland. That is who the Ravens are 2-0 against and they were a -3 and -4 point favorite in those games respectively. The Ravens appear good statistically on defense because they have only hosted the dysfunctional Bills and then went against the Browns.

It’s not that Jacksonville is so undervalued here; it is that the Ravens are overvalued. After playing the offensive dregs that are Buffalo and Cleveland, the Ravens may come in with a sense of complacency but playing those two offenses cannot have served them well. The Ravens defense takes a huge step up in class when facing the Jaguars offense. In Week 1, Blake Bortles threw for over 300 yards against the Packers. Last week, Bortles threw for 317 yards in San Diego and the Jags outgained the Chargers by 54 yards. Turnovers and penalties have hurt the Jags, which are largely luck driven stats. The Jaguars at home figure to dig down as deep as they can to avoid a 0-3 start. This is the weakest matchup that they have faced thus far but if this game was played last week instead of this week, the Jags would absolutely have been at least a -3-point favorite. We get them at a bargain price this week because they are a 0-2 team versus a 2-0 team and we love bargain prices.  

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.