E. Illinois @ W. ILLINOIS
#615 E. Illinois +126 over W. ILLINOIS
BEST LINES: Pinnacle +126 Bet365 +120 SportsInteraction +125 5DIMES +125
 
Posted at 10:30 PM EST. 
 
3:00 PM EST. Make no mistake about it that these are two very weak basketball teams that might lose 20 games each this year. However, a win with one of these dregs pays the exact same as a win with Villanova or Notre Dame. The difference is that the oddsmakers pay more attention to marquee match-ups while games like this can easily slip under the radar.  
 
Western Illinois has owned its crosstown rivals over the years and that is the main reason that the Leathernecks are the chalk here. Eastern Illinois has lost the last seven trips here. The market often puts emphasis on one teams' domination over another but we often do not, especially when it’s stretched out over time. In other words, a victory from four, five, six or seven years ago has zero impact on what happens here. It’s actually beyond ludicrous that bettors use these useless “trends” to make picks in order to rationalize their decisions. Well, with thousands and thousands of games played every year, trends develop over time and some stick out more than others. We can sometimes use those useless trends to our advantage by playing the better team at a price, which is precisely the situation here.
 
EIU is 5-4 overall and they also have a winning ATS record. The Panthers also knocked off the Leathernecks in Charleston (at home) just under a month ago. The Panthers defeated the Leathernecks by a score of 73-64. EIU has been the better program the past few years but they haven’t been able to get this monkey off their back until that aforementioned win very recently. 
 
Western Illinois is getting progressively worse as the season wears on. They have lost three straight to Miami (Ohio), American and Chicago State. Its two wins this year in eight tries have come against two Division II schools in Oak Hills Christian and Crown College. In other words, the Panthers have yet to defeat a Division I school, yet here they are favored over a team that has four Division I wins in eight attempts. We get the better outfit that has broken the WIU winning streak in this rivalry series We also get to take back a tag against a team that has lost five of their last six overall. Regardless of EIU’s recent loss at Northern Kentucky, we have to like the Panthers’ competitive edge in this matchup, as they have the game plan, the better talent and the blueprint to beat this team again, just like they did less than a month ago. 
 
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Our Pick

#615 E. Illinois +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)