Today's Free Picks for
UNCW @ ST. BONAVENTURE
#570 ST. BONAVENTURE -5 -106
BEST LINES: Pinnacle -5 -106 Bet365 -5 -106 SportsInteraction -5 -106 5DIMES -5 -106 Posted at 10:30 PM EST. 6:00 PM EST. This is really a good time of year to go after overvalued teams with great records and skewed numbers and we trust we found another one here in the Seahawks. UNC Wilmington is 7-1 and on a five game winning streak. The Seahawks attracted attention last March when they took a three-point lead into halftime against Duke in their first-round matchup at the big dance. The market is more aware of them this year, especially since they are putting up some sick offensive numbers. UNC Wilmington has scored 102, 97 and 126 points respectively in its last three outings. However, in its last game against the Division II Pfeiffer Falcons, the Seahawks allowed 113 points. The 2-6 Western Michigan Broncos also hung 92 on UNCW. The Seahawks 7-1 record is a bunch of skewed numbers on their home court. They have traveled twice this season with the first game being a victory against Eastern Kentucky in a game that went into OT and the latest being that aforementioned Western Michigan game. This season the Seahawks interior defense has been awful. UNCW is allowing opponents to shoot 54.8 percent on 2-point attempts (ranking 299th), which is a major problem that has been masked because of its record. They have also played a bunch of marshmallows and there is a price to pay for playing weak competition. That price should be paid up in full here. First off, the Bonnies play in the tougher A-10 conference. Very quietly, St. Bonaventure tied Dayton and VCU atop the Atlantic 10 with a 14-4 record a year ago. Marcus Posley is the only significant loss for the Bonnies but they have three transfers from the Division I ranks stepping in. The Bonnies are 6-2 and have the best two players on the floor in this game by a wide margin in Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who are averaging 23 and 21 points per game respectively. Denzel Gregg and Idris Taqqee are in the process of going from role players to stars. Last season, Gregg was named the conference’s sixth man of the year and that’s after limited playing time. Gregg is one of those rare players that disrupts everything his opponents are trying to do. The Bonnies are a very athletic, talented, versatile and deep team that should easily be able to exploit the Seahawks many flaws and win this one going away. Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
Our Pick
#570 ST. BONAVENTURE -5 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)
