Posted Saturday at 9:20 AM EST. 

UFC 201 Prelims- Heavyweight 3 rounds - Phillips Arena - Atlanta, Georgia 

8:30 PM EST. Here we have an uninspiring battle between two 36-year old heavyweights that honestly don't have much to look forward to in terms of title aspirations. In fact, we can say with a solid level of confidence that these two do not even have a punchers chance of being relevant near the top of the heavyweight division ever. But that does not mean in any way, that UFC matchmakers will not use irrelevant heavyweight bouts to fill their diluted cards and add a level of variance in total man mass in a card that is dominated by fighters under 155lbs. This fight may end up being one of those ugly eye sores of two very large men, struggling for position and air, while working their asses off just to stay busy enough that they don't have to stand up again and re-engage in a risky exchange. Then there is the obvious appeal of one of these two getting lucky early on and scoring a devastating one punch KO. The odds makers are giving a decent edge to this fight surviving 1½-rounds and as this fight wears on, Damien Grabowski should have the advantage.

It’s now time to have a look at the line and the fighters themselves.

Anthony Hamilton enters this one following a lopsided loss to Shamil Abdurakhimov. While it remains to be seen exactly what the new Dagestan import brings into the heavyweight division, the fact of this matter is that Hamilton was out-pointed on a fight that never ended up on the mat. A look into the previous fight may be more telling as to why Hamilton is being favored in this bout. Daniel Omielanczuk was defeated in one of the aforementioned ugly heavyweight ground battles. This fight was dominated by Hamilton, as he outweighed his opponent by 25 lbs and was able to establish top control and never truly give it up. Recently, Omielanczuk defeated 50-win veteran Olineik, to extend his win streak to three following the loss to Hamilton. This string of success for Omielanczuk continues to add credibility to Hamilton's win just over a year ago. That play's very well into this angle, as someone else's adjustments are impacting the odds of a fight that has nothing to do with them. If Omielanczuk hasn't gone on a surge since his fight vs. Hamilton, there is no way Hamilton is favored here, because he simply is not very good.

Another key factor to consider here is that the “Polish Pitbull”, Damien Grabowski is a relative unknown. Grabowski made his UFC debut vs. future title contender Derrick Lewis, and he was welcomed violently with a quick first-round TKO loss. Grabowski was taken down early and then quickly beaten into a stoppage. Not exactly a ringing endorsement for a debut, nor does it leave a positive impression on the betting public. Grabowski is now 1-2 in his last three fights, which also includes a loss to fellow M-1 challenge defector Marcin Tybura. Tybura was also thrown to the wolves in his UFC debut, losing by TKO to Timothy Johnson in April. While the newcomers have posted some poor results, they have also been pitted against ranked heavyweight opponents that are in spots to be contenders. Now that they have gotten their feet wet, they will both be given matchups more suitable to their elite M-1 talent level. Grabowski is a very diverse heavyweight and can win by submission, decision or knockout. He has 11 submission wins, six TKO's, and three decision wins. Expect the decision column to increase as he continues to fight in the UFC.

One major factor that also needs to be considered when looking into this line is the posted bio weight for Grabowski compared to his actual weigh in amount. Grabowski was supposed to be surrendering over 20 lbs to Hamilton, as his normal fight weight hovers around 240. However, it is evident that the Polish Pitbull has been bulking up as he came into the weigh ins jacked, registering in at 256, just three pounds lighter than (what was thought to be) the much heavier Hamilton. This added weight isn't sluggish either, as it is clear Grabowski packed on a lot of muscle ahead of his Second UFC appearance. Perhaps the loss to Lewis was a motivating factor for a man finally cracking the big leagues and being taken out early. He now he looks primed to get his first tally in the win column in the UFC.

This line has been influenced heavily by previous opponent's results, a perceived weight difference and the relatively unknown that is the Polish Pitbull but we’re suggesting that the wrong fighter is favored here and we will play the underdog accordingly.

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