Today's Free Picks for
BEST LINES: Pinnacle -102 Bet365 -110 SportsInteraction -110 5DIMES -105 WILL HILL -110
Posted at 2:20 PM EST.
10:05 PM EST. Kendall Graveman is a groundball specialist that was sidelined the last five weeks of last season with a strained oblique. He’s made four starts this year and it’s the same ‘ol, same ‘ol. Graveman doesn't miss a ton of bats, so like many of his kind, he relies on command and the slings and arrows of groundball-location fortune (and infield defense). He’s an average starter that has variances between poor, good and strong starts but ultimately needs very good command to succeed. With a 54% first-pitch strike rate and two quality starts in four tries, he continues to be hit and miss.
Nathan Karns is not hit and miss and the Mariners 8-4 road record adds to their appeal here. Karns’ late ERA spike from last season has him under the radar and we are buyers for a number of reasons. Karns’ command uptick coupled with his big first-pitch strike rate and swinging strike rate growth reveals that he’s moving in the right direction. His strong disaster start/dominant start split reflects his high-floor profile. Karns shutout Houston in seven innings on April 26 and Oakland's bats own a .676 OPS in 2016, which is in the bottom one-third of the major leagues. If the A’s have any advantages in this matchup, we’re not seeing them.
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Our Pick
Seattle -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)