BEST LINES: Pinnacle +106 SportsInteraction +105 Betfair +102 Bet365 +100

Posted at 12:15 PM EST.

This wager has nothing to do with backing Roberto Fernandez. Fernandez doesn’t offer up much in terms of skills and he may even get knocked out early but that’s something to discuss at a later date because once again we are going to attack Jared Weaver. Weaver shouldn’t be favored on the road over Vin Scully. 

Regular readers know that we’ve been fading Weaver for two years plus and have been preaching how bad he is over that time but he kept on winning games. One of these days we are going to post all the hate mail we’ve received over the past two years telling us how wrong we are about Weaver. Terms like “clueless, idiotic, we work for the books, stubbornly stupid and a whole bunch of F-Bombs have been thrown our way in regards to us fading Weaver. Being as stubborn as we are, we cannot ignore what the numbers tell us and they are now telling us things are worse than ever for this stiff. Weaver has been hit hard in his first two starts of 2015. Early results have seen his fastball velocity down to 83 MPH. His combined groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 32%/21%/47% over the past two years is one of the worst batted balls profile in the majors. In his two starts this year, Weaver’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate is 30%/24%/46%. That’s less groundballs and more line-drives and although it’s only two starts, it’s still hugely troublesome. In 10 innings over two starts, Weaver has surrendered 15 hits, 10 runs, walked four and struck out six. It should also be noted that one of those starts was at Safeco. Jared Weaver has been and still is one of the worst starters in baseball that has been vastly outpitching his skills for years. It’s finally catching up to him and we’re on the doorstep ready to get paid. 

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