Toronto @ BOSTON
Toronto +126 over BOSTON

BEST LINE: Pinnacle +126

Posted at 12:15 PM EST

The Blue Jays might be ready to make a serious run. After losing 14-1 to these Red Sox on July 21 the Jays have caught fire. They have won five of six and seven of their past nine games. Over its past 10 games, Toronto is first in the majors in team batting average at .305 and they’re in the top three in several other key offensive categories as well. Clay Buchholz doesn’t figure to slow them down either, as Toronto is quite familiar with him. Scared they are not. Buchholz’s last start was also against the Blue Jays in which he took the loss after allowing five runs in six innings and was in trouble throughout. In that outing, he walked four and struck out one. Buchholz takes on the Blue Jays for the fourth time this season and in the three previous starts he has a 6/9 K/BB split over 17.2 IP. In other words, he has not come close to fooling the Blue Jays and there’s no reason to believe that will change in this one.

R.A. Dickey has 37 K’s over his last 40 innings and his knuckleball has never looked better. How do we know that? Well, Dickey’s swing and miss rate over his last six starts is the highest of his career at 13%. Over that same span his WHIP is way down at 1.10, his walks are down and his groundball rate is up. Boston is almost always overpriced and we find another example of that here where Clay Buchholz does not belong in this range against one of the hottest hitting teams in the league.  



Our Pick

Toronto +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110