BEST LINE: Bet365 +3½ -105

Posted Wednesday at 12:15 PM EST.

This game goes on Sunday and although we’re not 100% sure which way this line will move, if any, we like the +3½ -105 right now so we’ll play it today. One thing we know for sure is that we’re getting the better team plus points on what is projected to be a cold and very windy day in Hamilton. You may read a lot about how the Ti-Cats haven’t lost at their new park in six tries but we put no weight on that whatsoever because none of the wins were impressive and most of them were a direct result of good luck. One win was against Toronto, 13-12 in a game the Ti-Cats had no business winning. Another was a 2-point win over the same B.C. team that Montreal beat 50-17 in a last week’s playoff game. In fact, three of Hamilton’s six wins in its new park came by two points or less and another was a 16-6 victory over the Redblacks. The Tiger-Cats have had nothing but trouble in the red zone the entire year and if you can’t finish drives in this league, doom looms largely. Hamilton has been outgained by over 91 yards or more in four of its past seven games and the week off to prepare gives them no advantage whatsoever.

The Alouettes are primed to win again this week. They are the most balanced team in the league with a defense that is playing well above the rest of the league. In fact, the Als have held seven of their last eight opponents to 17 points or less and five of those to 15 or less. They’ve also won seven of their past eight and now the offense is performing at a high level as well. The Alouettes will be boosted by a playoff win already and their best offensive display of the season against B.C. They scored six offensive touchdowns, including a pair of TD passes by Jonathan Crompton. The Als are superior in all phases of the game; offense, defense and special teams and watching them you get a sense that they’re not even close to being satisfied with just one playoff win and calling it a year. We’re calling the upset but under lousy weather conditions we’re more than happy taking back these significant points.